XperidoX: Futures Consulting

Home

Curriculum Vitae

Current Clients

Affiliations

Papers & Methods

Contact email

Scenarios that change decisions today


Riel Miller is a specialist in long-run strategic thinking.  For over two decades his work has concentrated on how to assess and direct the potential for socio-economic transformation in the private and public sectors.  He is one of the world’s leading practitioners of scenario methods and has developed “hybrid strategic scenarios” for clients around the world.  His work covers topics such as the future of: money, public services, education, the Internet, identity, information technology, the knowledge society, etc..  Riel works closely with clients to design and implement scenario processes that reveal the assumptions underlying current policies and the potential, often hidden, in the world around us today.  Using an approach that Riel calls “rigorous imagining” he helps build new decision making capabilities and ratchet-up the innovative output of an organisation.  From sector specific challenges, like the future of cash for financial institutions, to more societal challenges, like the future of globalisation in a learning intensive society, Riel brings a wealth of experience, an extensive international network and a solid reputation for creativity.
 

To experiment or not to experiment – that is the question.

Sunday, October 5th, 2008, Paris

We are living a moment when the swirling clouds of evolutionary complexity part, offering a glimpse of a landscape where three features stand out and what needs to be done becomes clear. It is time to embrace experimentalism.
The shocking
The first feature is that the emperor has no clothes. The financial system’s detachment from the “real economy” is evident for everyone to see.  This is not an artificial divide due to malice of forethought or some particular form of pernicious greed. It is a common event in the history of firms and sectors that get drawn away, initially by innovation and the good profits that go with it, to a point where the core role of what they produce is forgotten. There are famous examples of firms and indeed even whole nations that lose sight of the essential, focusing on doing things that end up being peripheral and ultimately non-resilient...
 


Document
To experiment or not to experiment – that is the question.